Week 16 NCAA computer projections

Computer projections for the FCS semifinals and the NCAA Division II and Division III national championship games along with the projected number of plays, offensive yards, and win probability.

FCS Semifinals

Projected Total PlaysProjected Offensive YardsProjected FinalPoint DiffWin Probability
South Dakota St. (MVFC)6436322.1-3.540.0%
Montana St. (Big Sky)6737725.63.560.0%
Projected Total Plays Projected Offensive Yards Projected Final Point Diff Win Probability
James Madison (CAA)6534520.8-4.836.4%
North Dakota St. (MVFC)6335225.64.863.6%

NCAA Division II Championship

Projected Total PlaysProjected Offensive YardsProjected FinalPoint DiffWin Probability
Valdosta St. (Gulf South)6739730.70.150.4%
Ferris St. (GLIAC)6840830.6-0.149.6%

NCAA Division III Championship

Projected Total PlaysProjected Offensive YardsProjected FinalPoint DiffWin Probability
North Central (IL) (CCIW)6438926.10.451.0%
Mary Hardin-Baylor (ASC)6334825.8-0.449.0%